Geopolitics and The Market
At the start of the pandemic in early 2020, we analyzed market responses to various historical events. While extreme and high-profile events will cause an initial negative reaction, they are often exaggerated, and markets tend to recover without causing lasting damage. As such, when facing these world events, we should respond with logic instead of with fear and panic. This became important again during February of 2022 when Russia attacked the Ukraine. For more details, please see below for our series on “Geopolitical Events & Fear”.
The potential for an increase in inflation as a result of the pandemic and government mitigation efforts is a significant question that has implications for all asset classes. The level of interest rates is one of the major inputs used to calculate intrinsic value, and inflation expectations are a critical part of determining interest rates. In the Investment Outlook series below we outline the various issues and our evolving thesis. Please check back over time as we provide updates on ongoing data developments.
An Investor’s Guide to Navigating Commodity Cycles and Geologic Deposits
Commodities, namely gold and copper have been in the forefront recently and in this series, Gary Sidhu, Analyst for the Pathfinder Resource Fund discusses the cyclical nature of these cycles and some factors that influence them. On a high level, he discusses how ore deposits are formed and key characteristics to look for when assessing projects. For our clients that are looking to learn more about gold, copper, and battery metals, we believe this series of Outlooks should be a good starting point.
2020 Hedge Fund Award Winner
We would like to congratulate, Rob Ballard, Gary Sidhu and Mark Ouellette again, the team that manages our Resource Fund at Pathfinder. They won the third place award for Alternative IQ “Best 1 Year Return” for all equity focused hedge funds in Canada. It is great to see success in our process and we believe there is more to come from all of their effort.
Alternative IQ 13th Annual Canadian Hedge Fund Awards Gala Dinner
People With More of Their Own Money on the Line Tend to Make Better Decisions
A Reason to Understand What You Invest In
The COVID-19 pandemic impacted financial markets around the world. Over the course of 2020, broad market indices across multiple asset classes dropped and, after central bank and government intervention, ultimately rebounded. Our research process identified actual businesses (as opposed to their stock prices!!) that were not as affected by the pandemic. In fact, some firms were able to “weather the storm” and even expanded their business. Other’s were just plain misjudged by the market, creating opportunities for astute investors. Below is a series of Investment Outlooks focusing on companies from each of Pathfinder’s mandates that exhibit these attributes:
Recently our Partners’ Fund team found a company involved in the fight against COVID that they believed was worthy of study. Part of the research into that company resulted in the following report being presented to our investment committee by Jared Fehr. We found the work that Jared did interesting and thought our clients might as well. It’s a little longer than normal and the subject matter is somewhat “weighty” but thought it good to share.
2019 Hedge Fund Award Winner
We would like to congratulate Doug Johnson, Rob Ballard, Mark Ouellette and Gary Sidhu again, the team that manages our Partners’ Fund at Pathfinder. They won the third place award for Alternative IQ “Best 5 Year Return” for all equity focused hedge funds in Canada. It is great to see success in our process and we believe there is more to come from all of their effort.
Alternative IQ 12th Annual Canadian Hedge Fund Awards Gala Dinner
We believe that an important part of the investment management process is visiting the companies that we own and meeting with management. At Pathfinder, collectively our Investment Team does this with more than 500 companies a year… in their offices, in our offices, on site and at investor conferences. We believe that “getting out and seeing” for ourselves is a critical component in building a portfolio.
When we meet with one of our portfolio companies, we discuss the results of the interviews, plant, site and/or office tours during our Investment Committee each week. We also write about those meetings in the Pathfinder Investment Outlook, which our clients receive regularly. Please see below for some of the more interesting excerpts of this work:
DOWNLOAD PIO Oct 11, 2019: China Trip Part I
DOWNLOAD PIO Aug 19, 2016: Microsoft Corp.
DOWNLOAD PIO Nov 25, 2016 Outlook: Wells Fargo & Co. & Manulife Financial Corp.
Vancouver Housing Reports
Over the last three years we have written on Vancouver real estate and whether we think it is a good investment. Report one (July 2015) addressed why we thought Vancouver real estate was expensive; report two (August 2016) addressed factors driving Vancouver real estate prices higher despite being expensive; report three (September 2018) addressed changes that occurred in those factors and report four (September 2019) addressed whether we think real estate prices have fallen enough to now be viewed as attractive. The reports were well received and we include all four below:
2018 Hedge Fund Award Winner
We would like to congratulate Doug Johnson, Rob Ballard and Mark Ouellette, the team that manages our Partners’ Fund at Pathfinder. They won the award for Alternative IQ “Best 5 Year Return” for all equity focused hedge funds in Canada. It is great to see success in our process and we believe there is more to come from all of their effort.
Alternative IQ 11th Annual Canadian Hedge Fund Awards Gala Dinner
Pathfinder Investment Outlook
With talk of trade wars dominating headlines over the past few weeks, we thought our clients and friends would appreciate our commentary on the matter. This piece was well received; therefore, we wanted to make it available for future reference.
Mike Sails with the Navy
Last month, Pathfinder’s President Michael Rudd, boarded a Canadian Navy frigate on a three-day excursion alongside military personnel for a leadership exchange program aptly called Canadian Leaders at Sea (CLaS). As great supporters of the Canadian Navy, we wanted to highlight this fortunate experience which we shared in Volume 6 Edition 38 of the Pathfinder Investment Outlook.
Vancouver Housing Report
In early August of this year, we sent out our latest report on Vancouver Real Estate. Our report focused on the issue of potential money laundering and fraud. Since we released our report there have been multiple articles highlighting the same issue which we also include below.
Globe and Mail Vancouver Real Estate Speculators | September 12, 2016
Globe and Mail Seizures of Undeclared Cash at YVR | September 9, 2016
Pathfinder Advisory Board
Regulators Investigate “Closet Indexers” of the Mutual Fund Industry
Pathfinder Investment Outlook
The Pathfinder Investment Outlook is translated into Mandarin.
Pathfinder Investment Outlook
With housing affordability attracting an increasing number of headlines over the past six months, we thought our clients and friends would appreciate our commentary about Vancouver real estate. This piece was well received; therefore, we wanted to make it available for future reference.
How The Economic Machine Works
Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates always has something interesting to say. We have learned a lot from him over the years and this video is “classic Dalio”. Doug Johnson, our founder, came across it and thought that we should share it with our investment team and clients. Anyone who is interested in the stock market should see it in our opinion. We hope you enjoy it as much as we did.
WIM Volume 4 Edition 36
One of our clients replied to this Weekly indicating it gave her a good understanding of how we manage the portfolios.